Polymarket has launched a prediction market on when the Trump administration will end the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell. On-chain data shows a 56% probability of termination before June 30. The market will settle based on official U.S. government sources or credible media reports. The investigation relates to Powell’s 2025 testimony regarding the Fed’s headquarters renovation. Trump has stated no immediate action is planned, and his team supports Powell completing his term. On-chain analysis indicates rising trader interest in the outcome.

Odaily Seer monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a new market on "When will the Trump administration terminate the criminal investigation into Powell?" The probability of termination before April 30 is currently at 39%, and before June 30 at 56%. This market settles based primarily on official U.S. federal government announcements or widely credible media reports. If the investigation is clearly terminated before the specified date without proceeding to indictment or prosecution, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise, it is "No".

This investigation stems from Powell's testimony to Congress in June 2025 regarding the renovation of the Federal Reserve headquarters. President Trump previously stated in an interview that there are no immediate plans to advance the investigation and emphasized the independence of the Federal Reserve, with members of his team also supporting Powell’s completion of his term.

Odaily Seer continuously monitors prediction markets to see changes before pricing.

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