Polymarket has introduced a prediction market focused on the potential termination of the criminal investigation into Powell by the Trump administration. The market currently estimates a 39% probability of termination before April 30 and a 56% chance before June 30. The outcome will be determined based on official U.S. federal announcements or credible media reports. The investigation, linked to Powell's June 2025 congressional testimony on Federal Reserve renovations, will conclude as "Yes" if terminated without indictment or prosecution by the specified dates.President Trump has indicated no immediate plans to advance the investigation, emphasizing the Federal Reserve's independence. Polymarket's platform will monitor these developments closely, reflecting changes in market sentiment and pricing.