XRP price has rebounded strongly from key Fibonacci support at $1.74, but bulls must reclaim a major resistance level to confirm a true momentum shift.Summary

• XRP bounced strongly from $1.74, where Fibonacci support and value area low aligned.
• Price is testing the point of control, a critical resistance for trend confirmation.
• A reclaim could open a rally toward the $3.43 value area high; failure risks a false move.

XRP (XRP) price has shown renewed strength after rallying from a high-time-frame support zone near $1.74, where multiple technical factors converged. This area, defined by the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and the value area low, has acted as a critical demand zone, triggering a sharp response from buyers.

While this bounce has improved short-term momentum, XRP now faces a decisive test at a major resistance level. Whether bulls can reclaim this level will determine if the move evolves into a broader trend reversal or fades into another corrective rally.

XRP price key technical points

• Strong confluence at $1.74 support: Fibonacci and value area low aligned to create a high-probability bounce zone.
• Point of control is the key resistance: A reclaim is required to confirm a bullish momentum shift.
• Bearish structure still intact: Lower highs and lower lows remain until resistance is decisively broken.

The $1.74 region has proven to be a technically significant area for XRP. The confluence between the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and the value area low often attracts buyers looking for discounted entries within broader ranges, particularly as institutional interest grows following recent XRP ETF filing developments. In this case, price reacted decisively, producing a rally that suggests selling pressure was absorbed effectively.

From a price action perspective, this response reflects improving demand dynamics. Instead of continued acceptance below support, XRP quickly rotated higher, signaling that buyers were willing to defend this level aggressively. Such reactions often mark short-term inflection points, particularly when they occur at high-time-frame technical confluence.

Rally approaches the point of control

Following the rebound from support, XRP has advanced toward the point of control (POC), which represents the area of highest traded volume within the recent range. The POC is a critical decision level, as it often acts as a magnet for price but also as strong resistance during corrective moves.

At present, XRP is testing this zone, making it the most important level to monitor. A successful reclaim and close above the point of control would indicate acceptance at higher prices and confirm that the rally from $1.74 is more than just a short-lived reaction. Conversely, failure at this level would suggest that sellers still dominate the broader structure.

Market structure remains bearish

Despite the improving momentum, XRP’s higher-time-frame structure remains bearish. The market is still characterized by consecutive lower highs and lower lows, which defines the prevailing trend. Until this structure is broken, any upside move should be treated with caution.

A meaningful shift to a bullish structure would require XRP to reclaim the point of control and establish a higher high on a closing basis. This would invalidate the sequence of lower highs and signal that buyers are gaining control over the broader trend. Without this confirmation, the current rally risks becoming another corrective move within a bearish market.

What to expect in the coming price action

XRP is currently trading at a pivotal technical juncture. The rally from Fibonacci support has improved momentum, but confirmation is still required. As long as price holds above the $1.74 support, the bullish case remains valid in the short term.

However, a daily close above the point of control is essential to confirm a true momentum and structure shift. Failure to reclaim this level would increase the risk of a false rally and a rotation back toward support. In the immediate short term, XRP’s next directional move will be defined by how price behaves around this critical resistance.

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