The probability of a U.S. Department of Homeland Security shutdown lasting over 70 days has dropped to 8% on Polymarket, marking a 45% decrease in just 24 hours. This comes as trading volume for the event contract surpasses $1.27 million. The contract specifies that if the shutdown, starting February 14, 2026, extends beyond the specified duration, it will settle as "Yes"; otherwise, it will settle as "No." The shutdown's end date will be determined by the signing of an appropriation bill by the President.President Trump announced plans to sign an order to ensure the payment of salaries for Department of Homeland Security employees, expressing gratitude to House Speaker Johnson and Thune for their efforts. He commended Republican lawmakers for their progress on resolving the shutdown issue.