Crypto analyst Luke has drawn attention to an XRP bull flag breakout, which could send the price to $11, which would mark a new all-time high (ATH) for the altcoin. This comes as the altcoin faces further downside amid the U.S.-Iran war, which threatens to drag on for a long time. 

XRP Eyes Rally To $11 Amid Bull Flag Breakout

In an X post, Luke stated that a bull flag breakout is forming on the XRP weekly chart, with the target being $11. The analyst noted that this is a textbook bull flag after the 8-month consolidation. A pole height measured move points to a rally to exactly $11 while the altcoin could reach $11.20 based on the 1.618 Fib extension. 

An XRP rally to $11 from the current price represents an upside of almost 700%. Luke indicated that such a rally is possible, with institutions also accumulating, a development that shows a “parabolic leg” is incoming. However, it is worth noting that the XRP ETFs have seen daily net outflows in the last two days as tensions between the U.S. and Iran intensify. 

SoSoValue data shows that the funds recorded outflows of $6.15 million and $16.62 million on March 5 and 6, respectively. As a result, the net assets of these XRP ETFs have dropped below $1 billion. The altcoin, alongside the broader crypto market, is currently facing downside pressure, with the U.S.-Iran tensions pushing oil prices to multi-year highs. 

Crypto analyst CasiTrades predicted that XRP could drop to as low as $0.87, as it remains below the $1.67 resistance level. Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto also stated that XRP could drop to as low as $0.85 after facing rejection at the $1.55 level. 

Insight Into the Current Price Action

In an X post, crypto analyst JB stated that all previous wicks, including the one on October 10, have been filled down into the demand zone. The analyst opined that there isn’t much additional downside fuel left if XRP is still in a higher timeframe (HTF) bullish environment. JB also mentioned that the first attempt to reclaim $1.61 failed, so a retest of the $1.25 and $1 level are now back on the table. 

For an invalidation of this bearish structure, XRP needs to reclaim $1.61 and break the diagonal resistance. JB noted that this would significantly increase the odds of resuming the broader uptrend after about 15 months of correction. “The current area offers one of the strongest R:R setups for HTF spot longs, with invalidation below the gray demand zone,” the analyst added.

At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.36, down over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

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