Crypto commentator and investor Martyn Lucas has rejected claims that $XRPcould rise to $1,000, insisting that such predictions do not add up.

In a recent post on X, Lucas called attention to claims circulating online that holding 1,000 $XRPcould soon make someone a millionaire. He said these claims rely on the belief that $XRPwill reach $1,000 much sooner than expected.

For instance, Jake Claverpredicted in July 2025 that $XRPcould rise to $2,000 on Jan. 1, 2026. According to Lucas, none of those predictions has come true. He stated that the chance of $XRPreaching that level stands at zero under any realistic scenario.

$XRPto $1,000 “Mathematically Impossible”

The market commentator notedthat as 2025 comes to a close, $XRPtradesat about$1.85.This price remains far below the $50, $100, or $1,000 targets promoted by bullish influencers throughout the year.

Holding 1000 $XRPwon't make you a millionaire. Claims of $XRPhitting $1000 are mathematically impossible and designed to keep you bag-holding. Always verify hype! #$XRP#CryptoTruth pic.twitter.com/Pl3rNT4v9W

— Martyn Lucas Investor (@MartynInvestor) December 29, 2025

Lucas argued that for $XRPto reach $1,000, its cap would need to climb to roughly $60 trillion. While he acknowledged $XRP’s solid performance in 2025, driven in part by institutional ETF adoption, he warned that extreme price targets amount to unrealistic stories meant to keep retail investors hopeful.

However, the post triggered backlash from $XRPproponents who argued that market cap does not matter in crypto, especially for a utility-focused token like $XRP. Some claimed that $XRP’s use case could allow its price to rise without regard to valuation limits.

In response, Lucas released a YouTube video to explain why he disagreed. Within the video, Lucas saidhe owns $XRPand boughtit at around $0.38, showingthat his criticism does not comefrom hostility toward the asset.

The Argument Surrounding $XRPMarket Cap

However, he stressedthat investors must still apply basic financial logic. He addressed comments claiming market cap plays no role in crypto pricing and said those arguments ignore economic reality. According to Lucas, market capitalization remains an essentialtool for judgingwhether a price target is realistic.

To support his view, Lucas cited an explanation from ChatGPT. The AI noted that market capremainsone of the most important measures when evaluating price predictions.Even though cryptocurrencies do not operate like traditional companies, market cap still indicates how much money must flow into an asset to sustain a given price.

Lucas then applied this to $XRP. According to him, $XRPtrades around $1.85 at the end of 2025 and has a circulating supply of about60 billion tokens, with another40 billion expected to enter circulation over time.Based on these numbers, a $1,000 $XRPpricewould require a market cap of roughly $60 trillion.

Lucas argued that no serious institutional investor would support such a valuation. He said that if retail investors tried to push prices toward those levels, larger players would quickly sell or short the asset. He compared this behavior to Wall Street, where experienced participants often profit at the expense of less-informed traders.

According to Lucas, this makes the idea of turning 1,000 $XRPinto $1 million not just unlikely but mathematically impossible. He called the $1,000 price narrative an engagement tactic used to attract attention rather than offer sound analysis.

Notably, while the market commentator remains optimistic about $XRP’s long-term prospects and sees scenarios where it could reach levels such as $10, he stressed that even Ripple does not expect $XRPto reach$1,000.

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