$XRPETFs are seeing fresh demands — and the Senate Banking Committee has just circled May 14 on the calendar.

Spot $XRPETFs recorded $28.1 million in inflows across just three days between May 4 and May 6.

Cumulative inflows since launch have now reached $1.32 billion — with positive weekly flows in roughly 77% of weeks since November 2025.

The institutional bid is steady. The price hasn’t fully caught up — yet.

The Catalyst Stack Is Loading

Senate Banking Committee Chairman Tim Scott has scheduled the CLARITY Act markup for Thursday, May 14 at 10:30 AM EST — ending months of delay.

The markup is the first of five remaining steps before the bill becomes law.

It must clear committee, pass a 60-vote Senate floor vote, be reconciled with both the Agriculture Committee and House versions, and receive a presidential signature.

The White House has the full path mapped: Senate Banking markup in May, Senate floor vote in June, House passage by July 4.

If the markup is confirmed, analysts expect $XRPto move toward $1.65–$1.70. A full Senate floor passage would target $1.80 — the 200-day moving average — with $3–$5 as the year-end projection if ETF inflows hit scale.

Standard Chartered projects $4–8 billion in cumulative $XRPETF inflows by year-end if the bill passes.

The flows would tighten circulating supply significantly and give $XRPthe runway to push toward prior cycle highs.

Polymarket currently assigns a 62% probability to the bill passing in 2026. If Tim Scott doesn’t schedule the markup before the Memorial Day recess on May 21, the bill will most likely be shelved until 2030.

Three catalysts are stacking simultaneously: the CLARITY Act markup the week of May 11, sustained spot $XRPETF inflows of $81.59 million recorded in April 2026, and a wrapped $XRPintegration on Solana that opens new DeFi-related addressable market.

What the Charts Are Telling Us

XRPUSD (Weekly): As of writing on May 10, 2026 (14:02 UTC), $XRPtrades at $1.4315, up +0.78% on the week. The MACD histogram has flipped green at +0.0294 — the first bullish reading on this timeframe in months.

The histogram bars are small but growing. The MACD and signal lines are beginning to cross upward from deeply negative territory.

The RSI at 38.63 is rising from its signal at 33.62 — momentum is turning without yet being overbought.

The $1.28 technical floor has held. The $1.45 resistance overhead is the first gate that needs to clear.

XRPBTC (Weekly): Against Bitcoin, $XRPsits at 0.00001769 — well off its cycle high of 0.00003419.

The Keltner Channel mid-band at 0.00002000 sits above price, with the lower band at 0.00001704 providing immediate support.

Price is pressing the lower Keltner band — a zone that has historically preceded sharp reversals on the $BTCpair.

The RSI at 37.54 is near oversold, with the signal at 30.90 touching the historically significant 30 level.

This combination — price at lower Keltner band, RSI signal at 30 — has preceded $XRP’s most decisive $BTC-relative recoveries in prior cycles.

Eleven Days to Find Out

Committee passage is the realistic May outcome and could unlock a short-term breakout.

Full Senate passage in May — a much harder lift given the five remaining working days before Memorial Day recess — would unlock something considerably larger.

The ETF flows are building. The chart is compressing at a historically significant technical level. May 14 will either confirm the setup or reset the timeline entirely.

Disclaimer:
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. The views expressed are based on publicly available data, market observations, and the author’s interpretation at the time of writing. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and unpredictable, and past performance or current technical setups do not guarantee future results. Readers should conduct their own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. TechGaged does not accept liability for any losses incurred based on the information presented.

This detailed match analysis covers key moments, player performances, and tactical insights.