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Colin Talks Crypto, an analyst known for his assessments of cryptocurrency markets, shared a noteworthy analysis of Bitcoin’s (BTC) current price structure. The analyst stated that he did not want to create “optimistic expectations” in the markets, arguing that the technical outlook remains weak.

According to Colin, Bitcoin has been moving within a classic “bear flag” pattern since its low point on February 6, 2026. The analyst stated that, by its nature, this pattern has a high probability of a downward breakout, adding that the real question is “not whether a breakout will happen, but when it will happen.”

According to the analysis, if the current structure is maintained, the highest level Bitcoin is expected to reach is around $80,000. Colin stated that this level coincides with both the upper band of the bearish flag and the intersection of long-term trend lines, describing it as the “best-case scenario.” However, he added that the price might not even reach this level.

The analyst stated that higher levels are theoretically possible, but this is among the low-probability scenarios. For example, he argued that developments such as a sudden decrease in geopolitical risks could create a short-term rise in the market, but this would not be enough to propel Bitcoin to new highs.

Colin also pointed out that multiple resistance levels intersect in the area he marked as a “potential local peak” on the chart, and that Bitcoin could form its peak within this range. According to the analyst, this local peak may have already formed.

The analyst added that Bitcoin is positioned higher on the risk curve than stocks and therefore may be more affected by adverse macroeconomic conditions.

According to Colin Talks Crypto, Bitcoin has been in a bear market since October 5th, and this process may still be in its early stages. The analyst, noting that bear markets historically last an average of 12 months, stated that a continuation of the current downward trend is “within the realm of possibility.”

In conclusion, the analyst stated that a downward break of Bitcoin’s bearish flag formation is likely and that the overall market outlook remains risky, adding, “Bitcoin is currently in a bear market and is behaving accordingly.”

*This is not investment advice.

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